Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 1.966665 2.263211 2.583261 2.953600 3.369544 3.821487 4.348891
2024-10-13 1.521178 1.935682 2.422195 3.031895 3.771740 4.636421 5.719146
2024-10-20 1.171513 1.632700 2.216129 3.000085 4.016480 5.279285 6.955001
2024-10-27 0.960548 1.451277 2.114256 3.060223 4.357244 6.052724 8.412061
2024-11-03 0.799590 1.300740 2.019298 3.100856 4.658303 6.785573 9.868169
2024-11-10 0.667010 1.162983 1.914519 3.102415 4.890353 7.429824 11.243477
2024-11-17 0.552170 1.029285 1.791378 3.052687 5.030730 7.942891 12.460477
2024-11-24 0.458014 0.910774 1.671414 2.986287 5.128965 8.389877 13.601026
2024-12-01 0.396269 0.836278 1.610311 3.001791 5.348106 9.024909 15.055411
2024-12-08 0.339194 0.759368 1.532750 2.977061 5.493884 9.549505 16.367122
2024-12-15 0.305337 0.720682 1.516534 3.053396 5.809225 10.358229 18.168338
2024-12-22 0.270253 0.672918 1.476228 3.079939 6.037807 11.036603 19.796717
2024-12-29 0.251584 0.658375 1.500675 3.234093 6.513855 12.175293 22.280296
2025-01-05 0.228987 0.631232 1.496893 3.334900 6.904262 13.199195 24.644447
2025-01-12 0.197862 0.578002 1.431753 3.307520 7.054595 13.817521 26.359605
2025-01-19 0.178615 0.549744 1.415598 3.376308 7.391259 14.784975 28.733982
2025-01-26 0.160094 0.519395 1.390200 3.422089 7.685405 15.692517 31.052836
2025-02-02 0.141183 0.483770 1.347238 3.424468 7.891629 16.449159 33.141474
2025-02-09 0.121662 0.441779 1.282550 3.370553 7.976700 16.981546 34.848393
2025-02-16 0.104011 0.400841 1.213766 3.298271 8.015075 17.423868 36.408858
2025-02-23 0.092794 0.377079 1.184936 3.315243 8.243203 18.245522 38.721773
2025-03-02 0.081202 0.349034 1.140231 3.288294 8.371941 18.876236 40.700379
2025-03-09 0.075082 0.338158 1.140555 3.371563 8.750245 20.025817 43.732912